NXN-NY / NE Previews And Projections Highlight Strong Races

NXN-NY Girls Teams

Breakdown: Like on the boys side, this is a rematch of the Class A race at States.  Fayetteville-Manlius upset Saratoga at the State Meet, then rested a week as Saratoga went on to dominate Feds.  The two will potentially meet up two more times in the next two weeks.  For Saratoga, Feds Speed Ratings were a little lower than their State Meet, which could be attributed to their large scoring gap on the field.  We've used the State Meet Ratings to see how things play out in the adjusted field.  As expected, the scoring gap is minimal, and could swing either way.  Manlius had a breakthrough race at States, and will need a repeat or improvement to maintain the lead on Saratoga.  It could go either way.

The race for third is an interesting one.  In the merge at States, North Rockland led East Aurora by 10 points.  In a different field, the scoring swings the other way.  Both teams are capable of running strong for that third place position.  Shenendehowa had an off race at Feds, but could swing back in contention, and Arlington has been a team on the rise in the past few weeks.  Plenty can happen in the back half of the race.


Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Team Scores                       
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    Team                        Pts     1    2    3    4    5   (6)  (7) 
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  1 Fayetteville-Manlius        47      2    4    6   11   24   46   53  
      Total Time: 47      Average: 9.40      1-5 Split: 22
  2 Saratoga Springs            57      5    9   10   16   17   18   21  
      Total Time: 57      Average: 11.40      1-5 Split: 12
  3 East Aurora                 144    12   20   31   36   45   68   70  
      Total Time: 2:24      Average: 28.80      1-5 Split: 33
  4 North Rockland              197     1   22   42   63   69   84   108 
      Total Time: 3:17      Average: 39.40      1-5 Split: 1:08
  5 Arlington                   204    19   25   30   44   86   114  119 
      Total Time: 3:24      Average: 40.80      1-5 Split: 1:07
  6 Corning                     207    27   38   43   48   51   72   115 
      Total Time: 3:27      Average: 41.40      1-5 Split: 24
  7 Liverpool                   227     3   33   47   59   85   93   97  
      Total Time: 3:47      Average: 45.40      1-5 Split: 1:22
  8 Greenwich                   234    13   49   50   60   62   74   101 
      Total Time: 3:54      Average: 46.80      1-5 Split: 49
  9 Shenendehowa                237    14   34   54   64   71   95   103 
      Total Time: 3:57      Average: 47.40      1-5 Split: 57
 10 Camden                      246     7   37   40   75   87   112  128 
      Total Time: 4:06      Average: 49.20      1-5 Split: 1:20
 11 Bethlehem                   252    15   29   39   80   89   96   116 
      Total Time: 4:12      Average: 50.40      1-5 Split: 1:14
 12 Niskayuna                   269    26   28   32   91   92   100  126 
      Total Time: 4:29      Average: 53.80      1-5 Split: 1:06
 13 Ballston Spa                313     8   57   78   82   88   113  118 
      Total Time: 5:13      Average: 1:02.60      1-5 Split: 1:20
 14 Sachem East                 337    35   52   77   79   94   98   117 
      Total Time: 5:37      Average: 1:07.40      1-5 Split: 59
 15 Mohonasen                   340    23   55   58   99   105  127  129 
      Total Time: 5:40      Average: 1:08.00      1-5 Split: 1:22
 16 Sachem North                396    41   66   81   102  106  121  124 
      Total Time: 6:36      Average: 1:19.20      1-5 Split: 1:05
 17 Washingtonville             431    61   65   90   104  111  120  122 
      Total Time: 7:11      Average: 1:26.20      1-5 Split: 50
 18 Elmira Notre Dame           451    56   73   83   109  130   -    -  
      Total Time: 7:34      Average: 1:30.80      1-5 Split: 1:17
 19 Syosset                     483    67   76   107  110  123  125   -  
      Total Time: 8:03      Average: 1:36.60      1-5 Split: 56