2021 NYSPHSAA Girls State Championship Meet Preview

Girls Class A - Teams


What The Numbers Say: Saratoga is good.

Better than when they scored 81 points lower than the rest of the country to win the NXN title in 2019. Better than last year, when they clearly ran past the country despite wavestarted, masked running. They rival some of their own best teams. At Sectionals, they threw down a team average that rivaled that of their 2004 team. Coincidentally, that '04 team would move on to Chenango Valley for the State Meet, where they scored 18 points on a loaded field. We don't think the score will go that low, but the Blue Streaks are the clear favorite heading into this meet, or any other meet in the country for that matter.

What Can Change: Two National Titles in between (face it, they would have won with ease last year) can't change the fact that Fayetteville-Manlius are the reigning State Champions, upsetting the Blue Streaks in Plattsburgh. Manlius is a much better team in 2021 than they were in 2019, but then again, so is Saratoga.  There aren't too many teams between the pair at the top, moving it close to dual meet status (the pair make up 11 of the top 20 projected finishers), meaning if either team has an off day, those projected numbers could grow exponentially.

Quick History:
Saratoga has 15 Team State Titles
Manlius has 13 Team State Titles
Other than a Colonie win in 1999, you would have to go back to 1995 to a find a year when either Toga or FM didn't win

Speed Rating Projection

                      Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Team Scores                       
=====================================================================================
    Team                        Pts     1    2    3    4    5   (6)  (7) 
=====================================================================================
  1 Saratoga Springs            30      4    5    6    7    8    9   14  
      Total Time: 30      Average: 6.00      1-5 Split: 4
  2 Fayetteville-Manlius        45      1    3   11   13   17   21   42  
      Total Time: 45      Average: 9.00      1-5 Split: 16
  3 Churchville-Chili           121    12   18   22   24   45   50   59  
      Total Time: 2:03      Average: 24.60      1-5 Split: 35
  4 Northport                   128    16   19   23   34   36   53   63  
      Total Time: 2:12      Average: 26.40      1-5 Split: 22
  5 Corning                     135    10   15   33   38   39   40   43  
      Total Time: 2:21      Average: 28.20      1-5 Split: 31
  6 Cornwall                    136     2   25   30   35   44   47   56  
      Total Time: 2:22      Average: 28.40      1-5 Split: 44
  7 CLARENCE                    166    20   26   31   41   48   57   58  
      Total Time: 2:52      Average: 34.40      1-5 Split: 30
  8 Suffern                     198    29   32   37   49   51   60   61  
      Total Time: 3:30      Average: 42.00      1-5 Split: 23
  9 Syosset                     207    27   28   46   52   54   55   62  
      Total Time: 3:37      Average: 43.40      1-5 Split: 29



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