NY Boys Team
It's been known all season that there were three evenly matched teams in the state, and the projections no doubt reinforce that idea. The numbers were based off a mix of States and Feds, with minor adjustments to the "problem area's." Each of the top three teams here have had a runner with an "off day" in the past two weeks, but we ran the numbers assuming they returned to "normal." That brings the scores razor thin, almost mirroring exactly the State Meet Merge.
It would be wise to not count an At-Large bid here, as there are crazy things happening in the other regions. All three teams have a stake to the title, with both Manlius and Burnt Hills having gone to NXN before. Corning is looking to become the first Section 4 team to ever head west, and with the memories of last year, have something to prove at Bowdoin. Smithtown and Niskayuna are still relevant as well, as they are within striking distance, as the numbers can inflate.
At this point, the race is too close to call.
===================================================================================== Team Pts 1 2 3 4 5 (6) (7) ===================================================================================== 1 Corning 87 7 12 13 24 31 99 133 Total Time: 1:47 Average: 21.40 1-5 Split: 31 2 Fayetteville-Manlius 99 8 10 15 25 41 43 115 Total Time: 2:02 Average: 24.40 1-5 Split: 43 3 Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake 99 2 3 18 37 39 56 91 Total Time: 1:58 Average: 23.60 1-5 Split: 45 4 Niskayuna 129 6 9 17 47 50 60 70 Total Time: 2:36 Average: 31.20 1-5 Split: 55 5 Smithtown 135 11 19 28 33 44 75 77 Total Time: 2:45 Average: 33.00 1-5 Split: 40 6 Xavier 173 16 21 27 46 63 89 118 Total Time: 3:29 Average: 41.80 1-5 Split: 55 7 Fairport 209 14 29 40 57 69 104 - Total Time: 4:11 Average: 50.20 1-5 Split: 1:03 8 Northport 220 30 35 45 52 58 117 135 Total Time: 4:27 Average: 53.40 1-5 Split: 32 9 Manhasset 224 34 36 38 54 62 65 108 Total Time: 4:28 Average: 53.60 1-5 Split: 32 10 Bethlehem 241 20 23 32 42 124 139 141 Total Time: 4:41 Average: 56.20 1-5 Split: 1:52 11 Baldwinsville 324 49 59 61 74 81 97 138 Total Time: 6:20 Average: 1:16.00 1-5 Split: 33 12 Ithaca 336 1 71 85 87 92 170 174 Total Time: 6:23 Average: 1:16.60 1-5 Split: 1:43 13 Irondequoit 378 48 66 76 88 100 103 156 Total Time: 7:16 Average: 1:27.20 1-5 Split: 53 14 Guilderland 401 22 83 86 98 112 125 162 Total Time: 7:34 Average: 1:30.80 1-5 Split: 1:37 15 EAST AURORA 404 4 55 94 123 128 145 157 Total Time: 7:31 Average: 1:30.20 1-5 Split: 2:16 16 Mount Academy 425 64 72 93 95 101 110 150 Total Time: 8:03 Average: 1:36.60 1-5 Split: 38 17 McQuaid Jesuit 488 26 73 113 132 144 151 164 Total Time: 9:02 Average: 1:48.40 1-5 Split: 2:03 18 Beaver River 490 67 84 106 107 126 148 152 Total Time: 9:09 Average: 1:49.80 1-5 Split: 1:00 19 Liverpool 499 68 90 105 109 127 136 140 Total Time: 9:18 Average: 1:51.60 1-5 Split: 1:00 20 West Genesee 508 51 82 102 131 142 143 146 Total Time: 9:27 Average: 1:53.40 1-5 Split: 1:32 21 Commack 520 53 111 114 120 122 166 167 Total Time: 9:39 Average: 1:55.80 1-5 Split: 1:10 22 Maine Endwell 540 5 80 121 165 169 171 173 Total Time: 9:48 Average: 1:57.60 1-5 Split: 2:56 23 Regis 628 116 119 129 130 134 154 168 Total Time: 11:28 Average: 2:17.60 1-5 Split: 18 24 Honeoye Falls-Lima 629 79 96 147 149 158 163 172 Total Time: 11:29 Average: 2:17.80 1-5 Split: 1:19 25 Union Endicott 682 78 137 153 155 159 160 161 Total Time: 12:22 Average: 2:28.40 1-5 Split: 1:21