|2018 Season Overview for the CHSAA|
the second year in a row in 2017, Xavier stormed to the CHSAA title,
defeating St. Anthony's by a 35-65 score at Van Cortlandt Park. Behind a
great senior top 5 of Josef Raphael Oettl, Aidan Donahue, Michael
Crorkin, Sawyer Gwyn-Rowson, and Fergus Macdonnell, the Knights posted a 171 TR on the season and took 2nd place in Federations.
Saint Anthony's ended up finishing ranked in NY's top 10 after some early
season struggles with injuries, the focus of attention for the Friars
was on their senior frontrunner Mason Gatewood who won three major titles
(Manhattan Eastern States, CHSAA, Federation) and won a spot at Foot
Locker Nationals. Gatewood was one of three NY runners who finished the
year with a speed rating over 190 TR, the first CHSAA runner to do so
since Fordham Prep's Conor Lundy in 2015.
Xavier and St. A's
Gatewood represented a year of elite top performances for the CHSAA in
2017 instead of the more competitive action of 2016. Xavier totaled only
35 points in the CHSAA championship last year, and only two teams
scored under 100. Gatewood captured the title by 10 seconds over Aidan Donahue
in 2018, while in the year before St. Peter's Ryan Tierney won by a lean
at the tape over Xavier's Giancarlo Cipri.
year there was a lot of good news for the CHSAA heading into September
as a huge chunk of 2016's talent was returning for the 2017 season. This
year the news is not quite so pretty.
In 2017 there were 6
guys returning with a 170+ TR and 18 at 160+. This year those numbers
are just 1 and 10, and the one guy with a 170 rating is Tom Appenheimer
from Cardinal O'Hara of Buffalo. In the list of the CHSAA's twenty top
returners for 2018, runners are averaging 7 less TR points than the guys
who were in their spots last year. Four of the CHSAA's mainstay programs
were very badly hit by graduation losses, including Xavier, St. Peter's,
St. John the Baptist, and Kellenberg. Those four squads begin the year
an average of 18 TR points behind last year's speed ratings, a drop of 54
seconds per runner.
But in every cloud of dark ugly data there are plenty of silver linings. St. Anthony's has won 19 CHSAA
titles, two more than old-time power Bishop Loughlin and four more than
Chaminade, and this year the top-rated Friars have their eyes set on
that 20th crown with a squad rated a little behind last year's team but
with maybe even more potential. It's hard to make anything happy and
sparkly out of a champion team's loss of its top 5, but Xavier is still
projected as the second strongest team in the CHSAA and just needs a
little infusion of talent into its young squad to make the good times
roll again. Another traditional power that is rated well behind last
year's team is Chaminade, but the Flyers moved up a place in the
projections, and that shows there is likely to be good competition among
the top 10 teams of the CHSAA.
Perhaps the most exciting news
for those who love the underdogs is that a quartet of teams that had
not sniffed the top 6 of the CHSAA for a few years are starting to shake
up the conference standings. Regis finished in the top 4 for the first
time in 16 years in 2017. Iona Prep was 6th, and the Gaels haven't
been in the top 4 since 1997. Along with a resurgent Monsignor Farrell
that is rated 4th in preseason projections and Archbishop Molloy at 7th,
the four nouveau-riche-in-talent squads should be providing some nice
looks for the CHSAA while some of traditional powers try to make some
big lineup adjustments.
In the Monsignor Martin championship
of the Buffalo All Catholic league, St. Joseph Collegiate looks to
replace St. Francis as champion and resume its customary place on the
Gatewood and the top 6 finishers from last year's CHSAA championship
are gone. The 7th guy from last year is named Matthew Payamps, and he
spent the first part of the year putting up some pretty spectacular
numbers in track alongside Gatewood. Together with his fellow Friar senior Brendan Dearie who was 10th
in last year's CHSAA, Payamps is hoping to get a little revenge against
the XC gods who saddled St. Anthony's with enough early season injuries
to put a crimp on the final results. Mason Gatewood entered last season
with a TR less than the ones that Payamps and Dearie have going into 2018, so
the duo are hoping to grab some of the same magic from their former teammate.
The other returner from last year's CHSAA top 10 is Iona Prep's Pedro
Bravo, and the most interesting news with the Gael frontrunner is that he is
only a junior.
Out west, Cardinal O'Hara's Tom Appenheimer is a prohibitive favorite to retain the Monsignor Martin crown.
|A group of top finishers including St. Peter's Ryan Tierney, a muffled Matthew Payamps of St. Anthony's, Kellenberg's David Lozipone, and Iona Prep's Pedro Bravo headed out to the back hills of Van Cortlandt last year in the CHSAA championship.|
|Top 5 Teams at 2018 CHSAA Championship|
|Projected Top 5 Teams for 2018 from Returners' 2017 TR Ratings|
|Projected Next 5 Teams for 2017 from Returners' 2016 TR Ratings|
St. Anthony's Mason Gatewood took the 2017 CHSAA championship by ten seconds over Xavier's Aidan Donahue.
|Top 2018 Returning Runners by Last Year's TR Rating|
|St. Anthony's Mason Gatewood won the Federation championship a week after winning the CHSAA title. Xavier followed up on its CHSAA team title by placing 2nd to Burnt Hills at Feds.|