New York State Girls XC Preview

Edited by Kyle Brazeil.   Be sure to like us on facebook, and follow us on twitter this season, as this will get you the updates you want the fastest way possible.
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Season Intro

Another NY cross country season is about to strike, and all indications suggest that it will be another classic fall beglittered with crushing records, extended and broken streaks, challengingly tough race-day conditions, and rancorous controversies. Few fans will be disappointed in the action unless they are hoping for a state and national title for their local team, a payoff that can only potentially happen for 8 and 2 teams respectively out of the hundreds of guys and girls teams scattered across New York. But the fun is mainly in the sweet, sweaty, painful effort, which all the shirts paraded around the Manhattan Invitational and other big meets weeks down the road will bear testimony to.

Working as always off the speed ratings compiled on the Tully Runners site and individual and team profiles, the New York State XC Season Guide loads up with an overabundance of team historical data and gives another glimpse of how everything could be shaking out in the section and class battles that will be waged across the state. Many longtime stars will be closing out their stellar careers, and many other runners will be making a breakaway to the top. Every year brings hordes of new runners and emerging stars to the forefront, and this year the lineup of suspected infiltrators of the XC upper ranks is large and promising. But the majority of runners will be fighting for the simpler goals of just setting a personal best or pushing their teams a little higher in the standings.

Covering New York XC not only means projecting which squads are likely to be the best teams in the state, but also which teams will earn spots at the State Championship meet. In the other 49 states, those two groupings are pretty much identical, but in New York an average of 40% of the top 10 teams in a class are shut out from States. Sometimes the teams missing from action are ranked #2 or #3 or #4, and twice they have gone on to win a spot at NXN Nationals during the last 8 years even though they couldn't earn a ticket to States. NY teams have even been ranked #1 in the nation and not been accepted for a States berth. The reasons for this state of affairs are buried in the annals of committee meetings from back in the mid-1900s, and today we are left with a strange mix of State, Federation, and national qualifier meets to end off the year in New York. Sorting out a straight path for top NY teams is never easy.

Inside is a tour of the state of NY XC in 2012 with excursions into the burning questions, useless trivia and historical factoids, season previews, featured team capsules, section-class projections, and lots of pics of agonized faces, muddy legs, and wild antics that might best be forgotten. Bill Meylan's Tully Runners team profile has set up the regression-tested scenarios and Dan Doherty has lined up the rankings going into the season, so this guide builds on those keystones of NYS XC info. Any information actually retained in memory should be immediately expunged, hopefully by the first week in September and certainly long before teams meet up at Elma Meadows on November 10th.

All images are credited to Section 1 NYS Running and are the usual grainy screen captures from videos of races at States, plus the Manhattan Invitational, Federations, NXN-NY and a few other races. Along with the featured runners in the States images I have tried to also name the other runners vying for attention, generally identified from left to right. The Red Dragon t-shirt pic was from the back of a guy, but it seemed more fitting to use it with the Maple Grove's girls section.
 
 
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The early stampede at the Federation Meet at Bowdoin Park

2011 Season Summary

Last year seemed in some ways a reenactment film. All four of the girls state champion teams also won state titles in 2010. NYS-A champ Fayetteville-Manlius picked up its 6th straight national title championship at NXN in Portland, and Saratoga was the runner-up and NYS-B champ North Shore was 9th, just like in 2010. In the top three classes, 24 of the 30 teams at States were repeaters, and in Class C the order of the top 6 teams was the same as in 2010, and the victory margin by NYS-C champion Bronxville was again 3 points. Double-digit streaks for consecutive appearances at States continued, as Pearl River sailed to 33, Bronxville bucked it up to 15, Seton Catholic-Plattsburgh rode to 14, Saratoga streaked to 12, and East Aurora and Cornwall fired up for number 11. During the invitational period stretching into late October, many of the big meets saw repeat winners, with Fayetteville-Manlius taking the Manhattan Invitational's Eastern States championship, Saratoga won the Great American Race of Champions down in NC, and Burnt Hills won the McQuaid AA race.

But there were some large changes, too. The number of classes was squeezed from five to four, and there were 10 fewer teams and around 120 less runners earning trips to States. The old A and B classes were primarily affected, and East Aurora's string of 6 straight States B championships came to an end. Mary Cain of Bronxville was the only runner to repeat as States champ, as two of 2010's winners were felled by injuries, and Aisling Cuffe and Christine Driscoll ran off to Stanford and Cornell. At least one big meet was doomed by a pre-Halloween snowstorm. And the runners on the Maple Grove's NYS-D champs all aged one more year, jacking their average grade status from a middle-school level 8.6 to a high school freshman mark of 9.6

In the end, for many of the top runners it all ended in the mud at Vernon-Verona-Sherril, though some went on to run at the Federation meet and NXN or Footlocker regionals and nationals. The VVS muck played havoc with the results of many individual runners who had a La Brea tarpit experience, and its oozy grasp may have factored into the team results in deciding one of the races. The final lessons learned from States was to always be prepared for the worst, be on the extreme right or left rather than being a centrist, and sometimes it's just better to be built like a truck.

 
 
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The playground snake section at the Federation Meet with Laura Leff (West Genesee) in the lead, Newburgh's Gianna Frontera a few steps behind, and Mary Cain (Bronxville) leading a group just behind that includes Tiana and Talia Guevara (Miller Place), Alexis Panisse (Benjamin Cardozo - NYC), and Lauren Mullins (Johnson City)

2012 Season Overview

Like last year, 2012 projects to have a mixture of the old and the new. Fayetteville-Manlius's streak at States and Nationals shows no signs of going off track, and Bronxville appears to have firm control of Class C no matter who is running at the top of the lineup. Class B could see a few major changes however following the formation of a powerhouse Holy Names squad, and Greenwich is determined to get back on the States winning track following its move to Class D.

The top three runners from last year are all expected back, and FM's Jillian Fanning, Bronxville's Mary Cain, and West Genesee's Laura Leff are looking to shake the world after a few mildly impressive feats in the post XC States period that included some state and national individual records and titles, some very high placements at NXN and Footlocker championships and wins at major track meets, and a few national team titles. Leff, however, had to sit out of action following January to recover from a stress fracture injury, and her recovery from the foot problems along with another trio of top runners from 2010 who missed all or part of last season -- Cicero-North Syracuse's Maria Lamontagne, Saratoga's Madison Carr, and Hamilton's Sage Hurta -- wil be closely watched

There are a lot of questions for 2012, some revolving around runners who have switched teams, potential changes in the power rankings for NYS classes, and the uncertain status of a number of teams and runners. A muddy dozen are collected below.
 
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Jillian Fanning of Fayetteville-Manlius makes turn uphill at NXN-NY ahead of Samantha Nadel of North Shore and Mary Cain of Bronxville in Bowdoin Park as the state champions from A, B and C classes set themselves up for Nationals, where all three would place in the top 10.

12 Questions for 2012