Girls Federation Meet Preview |
Individual Breakdown:In a unique turn of events, it seems like three hometown heroes will be trying to fend off the incoming chase packs. Up front, it looks to be a two person battle. Jessica Lawson is the defending Federation Champion. However, Bella Burda may very well be the most experience Bowdoin Park runner in the venues history. She has broken 18-minutes twice. She has just captured her first XC state title, over very much the same field. And she has something to prove. She wants that course record, and has two attempts left to grab it. Yet, Lawson isn't ready to hand over the title. After facing Burda in Canton, Lawson will have to adjust her sit and kick style, to handle Burda's continuous strength speed. How well Lawson adapts may very well determine the outcome of the race. Behind the pair, is another interesting matchup. Of the trio, Abbey Wheeler has the superior course best by a good 15-seconds, set last year at the NXN Regional. However, both Anna Flynn and Carly Benson came down the finishing chute side by side, just barely ahead of Wheeler in Canton. In what was Benson's first high stakes race, she may have fallen off towards the middle. With extra experience under her belt, Benson may be a different runner entirely this weekend. However, Anna Flynn showed she is a big race performer, taking fourth in a final kick over Benson, in a time well above her seed. Also, Bowdoin Park is second nature to the Section 1 standout, while it will be Benson's first time appearing. Could that extra course experience give Flynn the edge? We'll see Saturday. And finally, behind that, Rachel Ludwikowski leads a very strong quartet of challengers. The difference, she leads a strong team, as well as having more experience at Bowdoin than any of her challengers. Katherine Lee took out the race very strong at Canton, and will try to do much the same here. Sage Hurta is looking for a fast time with the big competition, while Danielle Jordan has valuable team points on her mind. All-in-all, this has shaped up to be a great race. |
Projected Finish
Bella Burda 12 01-A Arlington
Jessica Lawson 10 04-A Corning
Anna Flynn 11 01-A Ursuline
Carly Benson 9 03-A West Genesee
Abbey Wheeler 11 04-A Elmira District
Rachel Ludwikowski 10 01-A Suffern
Sage Hurta 11 03-D Hamilton
Katherine Lee 9 11-B Shoreham Wading R
Danielle Jordan 11 02-A Shenendehowa
Team Breakdown:Things are about to get interesting. In a field that is only missing one entrant in our Top 15 State Team Rankings, the battles will be close, and will be telling. Saratoga and Shenendehowa will have one last go at each other before the NXN NY regional. On paper, Shen looks to excel in the better field, however, there are some factors that will be working against them. First, like SPAC, Saratoga is one of the most successful Federation Meet teams ever, winning 20 titles in the past 25 years. Also, despite taking second at the state meet, their 15-second compression was very impressive. Lastly, Shenendehowa's top runners did not run up to their standards at the state meet, and will need to be firing on all cylinders to capture the title. The battle behind the two favorites is even more interesting. Guilderland was ranked 5th in the state, but was unable to make the state meet. They'll be challenged by Suffern, who have lived at Bowdoin Park all season, and looked impressive in the State's merge. While Corning drops off in a bigger field, Elmira looks very competitive as well, despite losing their essential fifth runner mid-season, a key factor that helped them dethrone FM at McQuaid. Rounding out the chase pack is Cornwall, who may have faltered a bit at States, but it doesn't negate their seasons body of work. Roughly ten points separates these four teams. Burnt Hills is the team that toppled Cornwall at the State Meet, and could pull a surprise on people here as well. Anything is possible for Corning with the low scoring number out front as well. cylinders For many teams, the outcome of the meet may have a big influence on post-season decisions. If you have a strong front-runner, but your team finishes fifth, the Foot Locker Regional may be calling your name. However, for Shen and Saratoga, it may be the defining moment for who will be vying for an At-Large spot to NXN. Big implications here. |
Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Team Projections
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Team Pts 1 2 3 4 5 (6) (7)
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1 Shenendehowa 103 4 5 23 32 39 60 62
Total Time: 2:07 Average: 25.40 1-5 Split: 37
2 Saratoga Springs 111 13 17 24 26 31 43 49
Total Time: 2:16 Average: 27.20 1-5 Split: 18
3 Guilderland 166 18 19 25 47 57 66 67
Total Time: 3:14 Average: 38.80 1-5 Split: 41
4 Suffern 176 9 10 12 70 75 89 154
Total Time: 3:25 Average: 41.00 1-5 Split: 1:08
5 Elmira 179 3 20 38 40 78 107 152
Total Time: 3:24 Average: 40.80 1-5 Split: 1:21
6 Cornwall 184 6 15 29 63 71 134 138
Total Time: 3:33 Average: 42.60 1-5 Split: 1:07
7 Corning 225 1 22 37 64 101 104 118
Total Time: 4:10 Average: 50.00 1-5 Split: 1:47
8 Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake 229 27 28 44 54 76 79 80
Total Time: 4:19 Average: 51.80 1-5 Split: 51
9 Monroe-Woodbury 257 11 14 59 82 91 93 98
Total Time: 4:48 Average: 57.60 1-5 Split: 1:22
10 Sachem East 298 8 41 73 84 92 121 136
Total Time: 5:30 Average: 1:06.00 1-5 Split: 1:26
11 North Shore 299 36 48 51 52 112 116 141
Total Time: 5:31 Average: 1:06.20 1-5 Split: 1:18
12 Bronxville 315 33 35 55 81 111 115 164
Total Time: 5:46 Average: 1:09.20 1-5 Split: 1:20
13 East Aurora 322 16 50 53 77 126 137 140
Total Time: 5:55 Average: 1:11.00 1-5 Split: 1:52
14 West Genesee 336 2 34 69 114 117 125 160
Total Time: 6:03 Average: 1:12.60 1-5 Split: 2:01
15 Niskayuna 344 7 42 90 100 105 122 133
Total Time: 6:16 Average: 1:15.20 1-5 Split: 1:40
16 Syosset 363 45 61 74 86 97 102 103
Total Time: 6:37 Average: 1:19.40 1-5 Split: 53
17 Notre Dame Academy 441 46 68 85 99 143 150 177
Total Time: 7:55 Average: 1:35.00 1-5 Split: 1:38
18 Hackley School 446 21 56 108 113 148 158 163
Total Time: 7:59 Average: 1:35.80 1-5 Split: 2:09
19 Benjamin N. 469 58 72 95 120 124 170 182
Total Time: 8:24 Average: 1:40.80 1-5 Split: 1:06
20 St. John the 551 30 88 123 151 159 168 189
Total Time: 9:44 Average: 1:56.80 1-5 Split: 2:11
21 St. Anthonys 610 94 110 127 135 144 165 173
Total Time: 10:45 Average: 2:09.00 1-5 Split: 50
22 Kellenberg 620 87 96 142 146 149 156 175
Total Time: 10:55 Average: 2:11.00 1-5 Split: 1:02
23 McKee/Staten 669 83 128 130 161 167 171 181
Total Time: 11:46 Average: 2:21.20 1-5 Split: 1:25
24 Our Lady of 704 106 131 145 153 169 187 188
Total Time: 12:20 Average: 2:28.00 1-5 Split: 1:04
25 Fiorello H L 707 65 147 155 162 178 180 185
Total Time: 12:24 Average: 2:28.80 1-5 Split: 1:54
26 Immaculata Academy 720 109 129 132 174 176 184 186
Total Time: 12:37 Average: 2:31.40 1-5 Split: 1:08
27 Brooklyn Technical 753 119 139 157 166 172 179 183
Total Time: 13:10 Average: 2:38.00 1-5 Split: 54