Preview in Review: A Two Week Reflection on Preseason Rankings

Overall Girls

 
  Team   Class   TR Average from 2013      
1. Fayetteville-Manlius A 127.2      
2. Saratoga A 125.0      
3. Suffern A 116.8      
4. Elmira A 114.8      
5. Shenendehowa A 112.6      
6t. Corning A 112.2      
6t. Burnt Hills B 111.4      
8. Webster Thomas A 110.4      
9. Rush-Henrietta A 110.4      
10. Queensbury B 108.8      
 
Next: Colonie, John Jay-Cross River, Cornwall, Pearl River, East Aurora

Kyle's Comments:  Some of the biggest changes can be found here.  Elmira takes a jump up to the third position, with an adjusted Average at or around the 119 area.  Suffern has run without their top two athletes in the early season, but it looks like it will take at least a 120 speed rating from the 5th man to take home the State Title.  Saratoga has a young team that will only improve, and Fayetteville-Manlius is known for continual improvement through the season.

 

Class A Girls

Projected Top 5 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 

1. Fayetteville-Manlius 129.0 2. Saratoga 118.2 3. Suffern 116.0 4. Elmira 115.6 5. Shenendehowa 114.2
 
Projected Next 10 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 
6. Corning 113.8 7. Webster Thomas 113.2 8. Rush-Henrietta 112.6 9. Colonie 109.8 10. Shaker 107.4
11. Monroe-Woodbury 106..4 12. Warwick Valley 105.2 13. Liverpool105.6 14. Guilderland 104.6 15. Penfield 104.0
16. Clarence 103.2 17. Syosset 101.6 18. Northport 99.6 19. Hilton 98.8 20. Arlington 97.8
21. Sachem East 94.6 22. Fairport 94.0 23. Fox Lane 93.4 24. Valley Central 91.4 25. Bethlehem 90.8
           
Next: North Rockland, West Genesee, Ithaca, Webster Schroeder, Sachem North

Kyle's Comments: As demonstrated already, Saratoga is equal to or greater than where they finished last season.  Expect the race to be closer.  Many of the final holdouts will be racing this weekend, so the waters will become less murky in the rankings.

 

Class B Girls

 
Projected Top 5 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 
1. Burnt Hills 113.8 2. Queensbury 110.0 3.  Pearl River 109.8 4t. John Jay- Cross River 109.2 4t. Cornwall 109.2
 
Projected Next 15 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 
 
6. Holy Names 106.4 7. Pittsford Mendon 105.8 8. North Shore 104.6 9. Sweet Home 103.0 10.. Garden City 101.0
11. Honeoye Falls-Lima 93.0 12. Jamesville-Dewitt 92.0 13. Hamburg 91.6 14. Tappan Zee 89.2 15. Miller Place 87.0
         
Next: Nanuet, Starpoint, Franklin, New Hartford, Port Jervis, Shoreham-Wading River

Kyle's Comments:  An interesting situation in Class B.  Right now it looks like Burnt Hill looks at the top, after a strong showing at Guilderland.  Queensbury ran relaxed at the early season Shaker Invite, which would push them back a bit.  However, the battle in Section 1 should be interesting.  Pearl River has a solid pack of five, which John Jay has a top end that could run well.  Will be an interesting matchup.  Cornwall ran well enough to bump themselves up to the 2,3 spot as well this weekend, one of the bigger moves.

 

 

Class C Girls

 
Projected Top 5 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 
1. East Aurora 108.6 2. Bronxville 101.8 3. Westhill 94.6 4. Skaneateles 90.6 5. Broadalbin-Perth 89.2
 
Projected Next 10 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 
 
6. Akron 88.6 7. Greenwich 85.4 8. Dobbs Ferry 83.0 9. Alden 81.0 10t. Wayland-Cohocton 80.6
10t. Schuylerville 80.6 12. Pawling 80.0 13. Hannibal 70.2 14. Newark Valley 65.0 15. Trumanburg 64.0

Kyle's Comments: East Aurora seems to have maintained their prescribed edge in Class C, running well at the revitalized West Seneca West Invite.  Bronxville ran with a refreshed squad at the Red Raider Run, and will be the top challengers.

 

Class D Girls

Projected Top 5 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 

1. Tully 93.6 2. Beaver River 82.4 3. Maple Grove 80.8 4. Norwood-Norfolk 76.6 5. South Lewis 73.6
 
Projected Next 5 Teams for 2014 from Returners' 2013 TR Ratings 
6. Silver Creek 70.0 7. Cooperstown 69.2 8. Sauquoit Valley 68.8 9. Notre Dame-Batavia 67.4 10. Keshequa 64.4

Kyle's Comments:  Tully seems to be the top team that has opened so far, despite a dual meet run by Maple Grove (non-rated).  We'll wait for more info to make any determinations.