Previews, Predictions For Sections 1, 2, and 3

Section 1 Girls

Class A 

RankTeamAvg SRSpreadTop Runners
1North Rockland91.836Castro, Stropili, Prince, Michel, Pezzementi, Bender, Cavanagh
2Arlington83.820Guckian, I. Pool, Laguardia, Anastasio, O'Connell, M. Pool
3Scarsdale78.635Rakower, Scheffler, Gibney
4Suffern78.238Delaney, Leone, Yin, Robinson
5Mamaroneck6489Hennessey, McManus, Bruno, Young
6The Ursuline School63.666O'Keefe, Henao, Jennings
7New Rochelle61.461Esposito, Joseph

Summary

North Rockland has a lead in the projection, benefiting from their strong run at Section 1 Coaches. Abby Kowalczyk has a similar lead on the field individually, and should be considered highly likely to be making the trip.

Top Athletes

Abigail Kowalczyk11Roy C. Ketcham121
Gaby Castro10North Rockland116
Kyleigh O'Keefe9Ursuline106
Ariel Esposito12New Rochelle103
Grace Delaney7Suffern100
Rachel Rakower10Scarsdale96
Bailey Guckian8Arlington95
Julie Scheffler11Scarsdale93
Kayla Stropoli11North Rockland89
Maya Hennessey10Mamaroneck89
Kaelyn Prince12North Rockland88
Isabel Pool9Arlington88
Sophonie Michel12North Rockland86
Rosemary McManus12Mamaroneck84
Bailey Laguardia12Arlington83
Lily Day11Lakeland-Panas82
Kennedy Leone10Suffern80
Joy Yin10Suffern79
Morgan Grant11Clarkstown N78
Kirsten Anastasio10Arlington78
Josephine Bruno10Mamaroneck77
Eva Gibney11Scarsdale74
Teagan Young10Mamaroneck70


Class B 

RankTeamAvg SRSpreadTop Runners
1Tappan Zee101.244Dunn, Fenton, Donovan, Dellollo, Ingersoll, Connolly
2 (Projected Winner)
Pearl River97.434Moroney, O'Sullivan, Sweetman, Durcan, McDonnell
3Somers92.848Sandolo, Duzynski, Aquilino, Masterson
4Eastchester9241Pennachio, Muzichenko, Beades, Mayer, Socha, O'Reilly
5John Jay (Cross River)73.480Wasserman, Barniv, Winter

Summary

This race is set to be a four-way battle, with every finish position possible to decide the race. Somers has the best top 3 in the race, but need to close their 4-5 gap to be in real contention. They led over Eastchester at the Westchester County Champs. Over in Rockland, Tappan Zee took down Pearl River by a margin of three points. There are two opposing views to take from this matchup. At Rockland, PR had their 4 runners ahead of TZ's 4th. That means TZ has two opportunities to improve their score in the deepest pack density, while Pearl River has only one. However, when we look at tie-breakers, we look to Bowdoin. Bear Mountain (revised) is a very different course. Back at the Section 1 Coaches, Pearl River had a significant gap on the field. It gives us the edge here in our picks. However, we fully accept that we could be wrong here, and TZ could repeat their win from Counties. That's why the races are run.

Top Athletes

Sloan Wasserman10John Jay CR127
Bridget Dunn10Tappan Zee122
Ava Pennachio11Eastchester119
Madyson Moroney12Pearl River116
Sofia Fenton12Tappan Zee116
Cassidy Donovan11Tappan Zee110
Mia Sandolo11Somers108
Julia Duzynski10Somers107
Claire O'Sullivan12Pearl River103
Katie Schmid10Nanuet102
Julia Aquilino11Somers102
Eva Muzichenko10Eastchester101
Triona Sweetman7Pearl River100
Jessica Masterson12Somers87
Maura Durcan12Pearl River86
Lily Oberbannscheidt10Rye85
Cacie Beades11Eastchester83
Meabh McDonnell11Pearl River82



Class C 

RankTeamAvg SRSpreadTop Runners
1Pleasantville79.453Shingler, Browand, O'Brien
2 (Projected Winner)
Bronxville79.246Williams, Curran, Winiecki
3Briarcliff65.229Franks, Nowakiwskij, Isbell

Summary

It's hard to nail down Pleasantville, after they ran an incomplete team at Counties. But they did run head-to-head with Bronxville at Section 1 Coaches, and the Bronco's had a healthy lead, so we're going with Bronxville for the win here.

Top Athletes

Caitlin Thomas11Hastings114
Ainara Schube Barriola11Rye Neck114
Danielle List10Albertus Magnus110
Clara Shingler10Pleasantville110
Maddy Williams11Bronxville105
Phoebe Carmel11Rye Neck96
Zoe Franks12Briarcliff85
Meghan Curran12Bronxville84
Camilla Browand10Pleasantville84
Catherine O'Brien9Pleasantville81
Carina Winiecki9Bronxville80
Lauren Isbell11Briarcliff68
Charlotte Black11Bronxville68
Ella McCalla9Bronxville68
Genevieve Agati12Pleasantville65
Nina Nowakiwskyj11Briarcliff60
Hazel Kuniholm9Hastings60


Class D 

RankTeamAvg SRSpreadTop Runner
1Tuckahoe18.850Doherty

Summary

Tuckahoe had a complete team at Counties, while North Salem didn't, so it's hard to compare. We'll go with Tuckahoe.

Top Athletes

Nana Tsunemi9Keio Academy99
Isabella Fryer12North Salem64
Sofia Doherty10Tuckahoe50