| Top 5 Teams at 2018 States |
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| Fayetteville-Manlius 25
| Corning 87
| Smithtown 91
| Shenendehowa 108
| Arlington 133
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Projected Top 5 Teams from Returners' Last Year's TR Ratings (Compression in Parentheses)
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| Fayetteville-Manlius
174.8 (30)
| Warwick Valley 161.0 (36)
| Shenendehowa 160.8 (13)
| Ithaca 159.8 (11)
| Guilderland 159.2 (10)
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| Projected Next 20 Teams from Returners' Last Year's TR Ratings |
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| Saratoga 158.6 (14)
| Corning 158.2 (30)
| Shaker 156.8 (24)
| Frontier 156.2 (28)
| Orchard Park 155.4 (25)
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| Smithtown 154.6 (24)
| Penfield 154.2 (34)
| Liverpool 153.6 (39)
| Northport 153.4 (27)
| North Rockland 153.2 (42)
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| McQuaid 152.8 (16)
| Niskayuna 152.8 (30)
| Washingtonville 152.6 (14)
| Suffern 152.2 (19)
| Irondequoit 152.2 (44)
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| Monroe-Woodbury 151.2 (29)
| Ballston Spa 151.2 (43)
| Fairport 151.0 (31)
| Syosset 150.0 (20)
| Port Washington 148.6 (11)
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| Next: Lockport, Brighton, Sachem East, Arlington, Cicero-North Syracuse, Scarsdale
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