2018 Girls NYSPHSAA Cross Country State Meet Preview

Girls Class A - Teams


What The Numbers Say: This race is a nightmare to predict. Two teams, with scarce seasonal data, and Sectional Races that were essentially a wash-out.  Manlius is the 12-time defending State Champs, but will find themselves to be the underdogs in 2018.  Although Saratoga only has four measured races this entire season, their most recent two show great improvement over the first pair.  They raced their back end at the Greenwich Invite, showing a steady rise in Speed Rating, then reasserted their National relevance with a strong showing at Sectionals, in less than ideal conditions.  They also have a depth through seven that Manlius does not, based on recent outings.

What Can Change: Manlius was also the underdogs at Sectionals, yet they are on the starting line here.  The smaller field of only nine teams helps to not inflate their weaker compression, and they have more depth through their 3rd runner.  If their 5th runner can have a banner day, we may yet see another tie-breaker.  And of course, if Tuohy is running, you can expect to see North Rockland move up the scoring here.

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Speed Rating Merge

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run Team Scores                       
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    Team                        Pts     1    2    3    4    5   (6)  (7) 
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  1 Saratoga Springs            37      1    3    7    9   17   22   25  
      Total Time: 37      Average: 7.40      1-5 Split: 16
  2 FM                          52      2    4    6   11   29   33   36  
      Total Time: 52      Average: 10.40      1-5 Split: 27
  3 Monroe-Woodbury             100    13   18   19   20   30   44   51  
      Total Time: 1:40      Average: 20.00      1-5 Split: 17
  4 North Rockland              103     5   21   23   26   28   37   41  
      Total Time: 1:43      Average: 20.60      1-5 Split: 23
  5 Corning                     137    10   12   35   38   42   50   52  
      Total Time: 2:17      Average: 27.40      1-5 Split: 32
  6 Rush-Henrietta              139    14   15   31   34   45   46   54  
      Total Time: 2:19      Average: 27.80      1-5 Split: 31
  7 Sachem East                 152     8   16   39   40   49   59   60  
      Total Time: 2:32      Average: 30.40      1-5 Split: 41
  8 WEST SENECA WEST            221    27   43   47   48   56   57   63  
      Total Time: 3:41      Average: 44.20      1-5 Split: 29
  9 Syosset                     222    24   32   53   55   58   61   62  
      Total Time: 3:42      Average: 44.40      1-5 Split: 34