- Girls - Contending National Teams
- ... I do this each pre-season for my own interest and to gather background information
- Purpose
- ... Get a general idea where the national teams might rank overall
- Ranking Method
- ... General extension of the 2016 XC season into 2017
- ... Focus on cross country results ... modify selectively with track results
- ... Exclude teams with limited data or data that can't be guessed readily
- ... First Criteria - consider teams that competed in the NXN Regional races
- ... Consider performance in championship races
- ... Initially, combine about 85-90 teams in a single race scenario (via speed ratings)
- ... Eliminate 10-20 teams with the worst scores in an iterative process
- ... Stop when 30 teams remain ... Manipulate scores and positions based on other factors
Once the real season starts, I tend to ignore the pre-season.
Remember ... this list is just an
informational starting point ... Real 2017 race results are what count.
I did add some Regional Projections this year.
Pre-Season Projection - Girls National Team Contenders - 2017
School State Score NXN Region
-------------------- ----- ----- ----------
1 Fayetteville-Manlius NY 110 New York
2 Keller TX 285 South
3 Broomfield CO 295 Southwest
4 Buchanan CA 320 California
5 Mountain Vista CO 340 Southwest
6 Davis Senior CA 335 California
7 Sunset OR 350 Northwest
8 Edina MN 370 Heartland
9 Jesuit OR 370 Northwest
10 Great Oak CA 390 California
11 Mountain View-ID ID 395 Northwest
12 Naperville North IL 405 Midwest
13 Saratoga NY 405 New York
14 Fort Wayne Carroll IN 420 Midwest
15 Cardinal Gibbons NC 420 Southeast
16 Centerville OH 425 Midwest
17 Lyons Township IL 425 Midwest
18 North Rockland NY 430 New York
19 Bozeman MT 440 Northwest
20 Palos Verdes CA 445 California
21 Johnston IA 445 Heartland
22 Pine Crest FL 445 Southeast
23 Canyon/Anaheim CA 445 California
24 Billings Sr MT 450 Northwest
25 Troy OH 450 Midwest
26 Southlake Carroll TX 450 South
27 Minnetonka MN 455 Heartland
28 Camas WA 460 Northwest
29 Blacksburg VA 460 Southeast
30 Carmel IN 460 Midwest
30* North Hunterdon NJ 490+ Northeast
30* Milton MA 490+ Northeast
30* Colts Neck NJ 490+ Northeast (updated July 30)
* added above (from below) for multiple team
regional representation from each region