- Boys - Contending National Teams
- ... I do this each pre-season for my own interest and to gather background information
- Purpose
- ... Get a general idea where the national teams might rank overall
- Ranking Method
- ... General extension of the 2016 XC season into 2017
- ... Focus on cross country results ... modify selectively with track results
- ... Exclude teams with limited data or data that can't be guessed readily
- ... First Criteria - consider teams that competed in the NXN Regional races
- ... Consider performance in championship races
- ... Initially, combine about 70 teams in a single race scenario (via speed ratings)
- ... Eliminate 10-20 teams with worst scores in an iterative process
- ... Stop when 30 teams remain ... Manipulate scores and positions based on other factors
Once the real season starts, I tend to ignore the pre-season.
Remember ... this list is just an
informational starting point ... Real 2017 race results are what count.
Also Remember ... Most top boy's
teams contain a fair number of seniors, and those seniors graduate ...
Significant graduation from last year means projecting many of the teams
below requires guessing -
occasionally it's a "shot -in-the-dark guess"
.
I did add some Regional Projections this year.
View The Full Article Here (With Analysis)
Pre-Season Projection - BOYS National Team Contenders - 2017
School State Score NXN Region
-------------------- ----- ----- ----------
1 Loudoun Valley VA 220 Southeast
2 Great Oak CA 235 California
3 Downers Grove North IL 300 Midwest
4 Carmel IN 320 Midwest
5 Roosevelt CA 325 California
6 Wayzata MN 330 Heartland
7 Christian Brothers NJ 340 Northeast
8 St. Xavier (Lou) KY 360 Southeast
9 Crater OR 370 Northwest
10 Green Hope NC 375 Southeast
11 The Woodlands TX 385 South
12 Princeton NJ 385 Northeast
13 Timpanogos UT 395 Southwest
14 Dana Hills CA 395 California
15 Bellarmine-CA CA 395 California
16 Burnt Hills NY 400 New York
17 Springville UT 410 Southwest
18 Central Valley WA 410 Northwest
19 Saint John's MA 420 Northeast
20 Loyola CA 425 California
21 Davis UT UT 430 Southwest
22 Staples CT 440 Northeast
23 Pleasant Valley IA 440 Heartland
24 York IL 445 Midwest
25 Brentwood Academy TN 450 Southeast
26 St. Anthony's NY 450 New York
27 Fairport NY 455 New York
28 Palmer Ridge CO 460 Southwest
29 Bozeman MT 470 Northwest
30 Council Rock North PA 480 Northeast
30* Flower Mound TX* 480* South
30* Kingwood TX* 480* South
* added above (from below) for multiple team
regional representation from each region