| Top 5 Teams at 2021 States |
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| Bronxville 57
| Norwood-Norfolk 90
| Newfane 106
| Voorheesville 111
| South Jefferson 116
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Projected Top 5 Teams from Returners' Last Year's TR Ratings (Compression in Parentheses)
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| East Aurora 97.4 (62)
| Bronxville 88.2 (65)
| Newfane 80.2 (60)
| Norwood-Norfolk 77.0 (52)
| Saranac 76.2 (45)
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| Projected Next 10 Teams from Returners' Last Year's TR Ratings |
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| Allegany-Limestone 73.0 (101)
| James O'Neill 72.2 (39)
| South Jefferson 68.0 (28)
| Eden 60.6 (47)
| Broadalbin-Perth 57.4 (39)
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| Hastings 57.2 (66)
| Saranac Lake 55.4 (8)
| Wheatley 55.0 (82)
| Cazenovia 51.0 (77)
| Waterloo 45.8 (72)
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| Next: Dansville
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