Close Battles Coming To Bowdoin Park & VCP - NY & NE Regional Previews

NY Boys Team


It's been known all season that there were three evenly matched teams in the state, and the projections no doubt reinforce that idea.  The numbers were based off a mix of States and Feds, with minor adjustments to the "problem area's."  Each of the top three teams here have had a runner with an "off day" in the past two weeks, but we ran the numbers assuming they returned to "normal."  That brings the scores razor thin, almost mirroring exactly the State Meet Merge.

It would be wise to not count an At-Large bid here, as there are crazy things happening in the other regions.  All three teams have a stake to the title, with both Manlius and Burnt Hills having gone to NXN before.  Corning is looking to become the first Section 4 team to ever head west, and with the memories of last year, have something to prove at Bowdoin.  Smithtown and Niskayuna are still relevant as well, as they are within striking distance, as the numbers can inflate.

At this point, the race is too close to call.

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    Team                        Pts     1    2    3    4    5   (6)  (7)
=====================================================================================
  1 Corning                     87      7   12   13   24   31   99   133
      Total Time: 1:47      Average: 21.40      1-5 Split: 31
  2 Fayetteville-Manlius        99      8   10   15   25   41   43   115
      Total Time: 2:02      Average: 24.40      1-5 Split: 43
  3 Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake   99      2    3   18   37   39   56   91 
      Total Time: 1:58      Average: 23.60      1-5 Split: 45
  4 Niskayuna                   129     6    9   17   47   50   60   70 
      Total Time: 2:36      Average: 31.20      1-5 Split: 55
  5 Smithtown                   135    11   19   28   33   44   75   77 
      Total Time: 2:45      Average: 33.00      1-5 Split: 40
  6 Xavier                      173    16   21   27   46   63   89   118
      Total Time: 3:29      Average: 41.80      1-5 Split: 55
  7 Fairport                    209    14   29   40   57   69   104   - 
      Total Time: 4:11      Average: 50.20      1-5 Split: 1:03
  8 Northport                   220    30   35   45   52   58   117  135
      Total Time: 4:27      Average: 53.40      1-5 Split: 32
  9 Manhasset                   224    34   36   38   54   62   65   108
      Total Time: 4:28      Average: 53.60      1-5 Split: 32
 10 Bethlehem                   241    20   23   32   42   124  139  141
      Total Time: 4:41      Average: 56.20      1-5 Split: 1:52
 11 Baldwinsville               324    49   59   61   74   81   97   138
      Total Time: 6:20      Average: 1:16.00      1-5 Split: 33
 12 Ithaca                      336     1   71   85   87   92   170  174
      Total Time: 6:23      Average: 1:16.60      1-5 Split: 1:43
 13 Irondequoit                 378    48   66   76   88   100  103  156
      Total Time: 7:16      Average: 1:27.20      1-5 Split: 53
 14 Guilderland                 401    22   83   86   98   112  125  162
      Total Time: 7:34      Average: 1:30.80      1-5 Split: 1:37
 15 EAST AURORA                 404     4   55   94   123  128  145  157
      Total Time: 7:31      Average: 1:30.20      1-5 Split: 2:16
 16 Mount Academy               425    64   72   93   95   101  110  150
      Total Time: 8:03      Average: 1:36.60      1-5 Split: 38
 17 McQuaid Jesuit              488    26   73   113  132  144  151  164
      Total Time: 9:02      Average: 1:48.40      1-5 Split: 2:03
 18 Beaver River                490    67   84   106  107  126  148  152
      Total Time: 9:09      Average: 1:49.80      1-5 Split: 1:00
 19 Liverpool                   499    68   90   105  109  127  136  140
      Total Time: 9:18      Average: 1:51.60      1-5 Split: 1:00
 20 West Genesee                508    51   82   102  131  142  143  146
      Total Time: 9:27      Average: 1:53.40      1-5 Split: 1:32
 21 Commack                     520    53   111  114  120  122  166  167
      Total Time: 9:39      Average: 1:55.80      1-5 Split: 1:10
 22 Maine Endwell               540     5   80   121  165  169  171  173
      Total Time: 9:48      Average: 1:57.60      1-5 Split: 2:56
 23 Regis                       628    116  119  129  130  134  154  168
      Total Time: 11:28      Average: 2:17.60      1-5 Split: 18
 24 Honeoye Falls-Lima          629    79   96   147  149  158  163  172
      Total Time: 11:29      Average: 2:17.80      1-5 Split: 1:19
 25 Union Endicott              682    78   137  153  155  159  160  161
      Total Time: 12:22      Average: 2:28.40      1-5 Split: 1:21