|2016 Season Overview for the CHSAA |
was a very good year for the the CHSAA. St.Anthony's and Xavier battled
each other throughout the season for league supremacy, with the Friars
always a little ahead in the CHSAA championship, Federation, and NXN-NY.
The Federation meet had especially great action as St. Anthony's won
its second straight title and Xavier finished 2 points behind in 2nd.
Also having a special year was Fordham Prep's Conor Lundy who came back
from an early season illness to win the CHSAA championship, place 3rd in
Federation and the Foot Locker Northeast qualifier, and then wrap it
all up with a 7th at Foot Locker Nationals.
Now it's another
year though, and the CHSAA is in a far different position from where it
began and ended 2015. The top 5 teams in the 2016 season preview are
averaging about 6 TR points less than the teams for their respective
positions last year. The top 10 returning runners are averaging about 10
TR points less than last year's preseason top 10. The difference is big
and startling. St. Anthony's and Fordham Prep lost their top five guys,
St. Joseph's Collegiate of Buffalo lost its top 3, and only three of
the top 17 finishers in last year's CHSAA championship are returning. Can the teams of the CHSAA survive such a cataclysm?
CHSAA will likely be missing some of the sparkle of the previous two
years, but the teams will forge on. Xavier has three of last year's top 5
back, and senior Giancarlo Cipri and juniors Josef Raphael Oettl and
Sawyer Gwyn-Rowson give the Knights three of CHSAA's top returning
runners and some strong hopes for their first crown in 85 years. St. Anthony's will
look to rebuild behind its sole returning top-20 CHSAA returner,
sophomore Matthew Payamps, and a big effort from members of last year's
JV squad. Chaminade appears ready to move into the CHSAA's third spot
with enough returners from last year's 5th place team to make the Flyers
dream of taking their first title in three years.
St. Joseph's graduated much of last year's varsity including frontrunner
Anthony Belfatto, and the Marauders are now likely a little behind in
the battle for the Monsignor Martin title. Canisius and St. Francis seem
positioned to duel for the top spot with most of their varsity back,
but they'll still be watching for St. Joe's coming on from behind.
The role of the lead guy in the CHSAA falls to Xavier's Giancarlo Cipri, but with so much room at the top after the departure of last year's big senior class, there are going to a lot of young guys taking a shot at the top.
|The CHSAA guys are in an early pack in the championship race as Fordham Prep's Conor Lundy and the St. Anthony's team begin their drives for crowns in 2015.|
|Top 5 Teams at 2016 CHSAA Championship|
|Projected Top 5 Teams for 2016 from Returners' 2015 TR Ratings|
|Projected Next 5 Teams for 2016 from Returners' 2015 TR Ratings|
Anthony's had the numbers to win the CHSAA championship, as here Ryan
Kutch in front and Ryan Dearie in back took 5th and 4th as the third
and second guys in for the Friars. Christian Raslowsky of Xavier finished
3rd and Robert Guidocipietro of St. Joseph by the Sea was 6th.|
|Top 2016 Returning Runners by Last Year's TR Rating|
Prep's Conor Lundy chases Carthage's Noah Affolder at the Federation
meet as he leads an onslaught of CHSAA runners that swept St. Anthony's
and Xavier to 1st and 2nd.|