Team Snapshot Overview
The snapshot view gives the basic info about the Eastern States field listed by general estimated TR (Tully Runners) speed rating averages. For the NY teams the TR score is fairly precise based on the 2015 action. For outside-of-NY teams the TR is the score for the team's last big meet and is thus less comprehensive than the NY teams' season-compiled scores and could miss runners who were not at the selected meet. Finally, as happened with a few teams last year, there are some squads that will likely only be putting a single top runner on the line, but in this preview all signed-up teams are treated as a unit.
The rankings cited are mainly from Milesplit national or state listings but also include rankings from coaches' polls in states that do actually post weekly updates for teams that are linked to on the Milesplit sites. Rankings are from the most recent week.
The snapshot listing is not intended to be a prediction of the finish in the race. Some teams are extremely unbalanced with one or two runners at the top and a big gap to following runners, and these teams generally do not finish as high as their estimated TR would indicate if they are among the top teams where strong packs are good. The balance factor switches for teams in the bottom part of the results though, where having one or two high-flying runners can move a team up from say the 15th to the 13th spot. The Spread number following the TR average indicates the gap between the first and fifth runner numbers, with each point equaling about 3 seconds in a 5K race or maybe 2.67 seconds at VCP's 2.5 mile course.
The scores for some out-of-state teams may not include key runners who were not present at the big meet from which the team's score was calculated. TRs are general estimates of team strength, so use them here as just broad indicators of the range in which a team is expected to run. Based on a big database of past results, the TRs serve as remarkably accurate predictors for races that have enough associated team data, and they are many orders of magnitude better than the divining rods that are often used to estimate team strengths.
| Team | 2014 Place | National and Regional Rank | 2015 Action | Speed Rating (TR) | TR Top 5 and Spread ( ) |
| Fayetteville-Manlius | 1st in ES | US #3, NY #1 | 1st in Baldwinsville-Large | 133.2 | 144-133-132-128-127 (17) |
| Pennsbury | --- | US #12, PA #1 | 1st in Paul Sort-Brown | 121.4 | 137-130-118-112-110 (27) |
| North Rockland | 1st in C | NY #6 | 1st in Grout-D1 | 120.0 | 136-136-114-107-105 (31) |
| La Salle | 2nd in ES | US #11, RI #1 | 1st in Maine XC Festival of Champions | 119.6 | 132-124-122-117-103 (29) |
| Patriot | --- | NA | 2nd in RVA Relay-A | 114 (est) | 151-121-101-101-97 (54) |
| Corning | Ran in C | NY #9 | 5th in McQuaid-AAA | 113.4 | 150-117-105-95-94 (56) |
| Syosset | 8th in ES | NY-A #9 | 7th in McQuaid-AAA | 113.2 | 140-111-110-101-93 (47) |
| Needham | --- | MA #1 | 2nd in Ocean State-Champ | 106.0 | 134-123-101-94-78 (56) |
| Sachem East | 5th in ES | NY-A #17 | 2nd in Queensbury-1 | 103.2 | 123-114-102-95-88 (35) |
| Champlain Valley | 7th in ES | VT #1 | 4th in Woods Trail | 102.4 | 122-106-98-94-84 (38) |
| Notre Dame | 6th in F | NY-B #7 | 1st in Mayor's Cup (NYC) | 100.0 | 120-116-93-85-80 (40) |
| Haddonfield | 3rd in B | NJ #6 | 1st in Bowdoin-1 | 99.8 | 141-97-90-86-85 (56) |
| Immaculate | --- | CT #1 | 4th in OCean State-Champ | 99.6 | 126-123-114-75-59 (67) |
| Beavercreek | --- | OH-Div. 1 #5 | 2nd in Fleet Feet-Strongsville | 98.8 | 117-107-92-92-86 (31) |
| Vincentian | --- | PA-A #2 | 1st in Grove City | 90.6 | 124-97-96-76-72 (52) |
| Rumson-Fair Haven | 7th in B | NJ #9 | 2nd in NJ Shore Coaches-C | 90.4 | 105-94-90-84-79 (26) |
| Walt Whitman | --- | MD-4A #3 | 1st in Oatlands | 84.4 | 110-95-79-77-71 (39) |
| Jordan-Elbridge | 9th in A | NY-C #10 | 11th in McQuaid-A | 80.8 | 126-100-80-58-39 (87) |
| Smithtown | 8th in C | 5th in Suffolk Coaches-A | 76.2 | 117-109-71-46-38 (79) | |
| Bedford | --- | NH #13 | 16th in Manchester | 73.2 | 120-80-57-55-53 (67) |
| Annapolis | --- | 10th in Bull Run-Large | 56.2 | 141-72-32-24-12 (129) | |
| Hamilton | Ran in ES | Ran in McQuaid-A | 50.0 | 145-61-37 | |
| Scranton | --- | 5th in Lackawanna County Commissioners | 40.6 | 79-67-38-14-5 (74) | |
| Bellport | Ran in A | 10th in Suffolk Coaches-A | 38.6 | 77-69-42-42 | |
| Our Lady of Lourdes | 10th in F | Ran in Brewster Bear-D1 | NA | 122 |
Team Profiles - by Pole Position on Starting Line
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs (NJ)
Overview: The Bulldogs should be among the top 15 teams in the Eastern States.
Roster: Emily Hallman (105), Becca Ley (94), Sarah Nelson (90), Julia Tambaro (84), Olivia Rehder (79), Cameron Irvine (79)
Team Data: 90.4. Finished 2nd in NJ Shore Coaches-C
Comments: RFH has a solid pack of runners that should help them do well at Eastern States.
Beavercreek Beavers (OH)
Overview: The Beavers are one of the stronger big schools in Ohio and come to Manhattan after a strong performance in the area's Fleet Feet meet.
Roster: Lauren Shuman (117), Aislinn Fitzgerald (107), Stephani Pierce (92), Bethany Lasson (92), Emily Ott (86), Molly Bernard (84), Jordan Grant (81)
Team Data: 98.8. 2nd in Fleet Feet- Strongville.
Comments: The Beavers have a god top duo of Shuman and Fitzgerald that should help them fight for a top 10 spot.
Fayetteville-Manlius Hornets (NY)
Overview: The Hornets are the reigning national champs along with the incumbent Eastern States champ, and they will be the heavy favorites with a chance to move up in the national rankings.
Roster: Kaitlyn Neal (144), Samantha Levy (133), Palmer Madsen (132), Claire Walters (128), Jenna Farrell (127), Rebecca Walters (126), Sophie Ryan (122)
Team Data: 133,2. Finished 1st in Baldwinsville-Large.
Comments: FM will be jump-starting its path toward the NXN Nationals with its first really huge meet of the season, and the crew led by newcomer Kaitlyn Neal the US #21 runner will be big favorites to capture their second straight Eastern States.
Smithtown Bulls (NY)
Overview: The Bulls have a solid group of runners that should finish in the top 20 at Eastern States.
Roster: Gabrielle Schneide (117), Catherine Farrell (109), Eliza Nichols (71), Georgina Stampolos (46), Emily Owenburg (38)
Team Data: 76.2. 5th in Suffolk Coaches-A
Comments: Schneide and Farrell should help the Bulls perform well at ES.
Vincentian Royals (PA)
Overview: One of the top teams in Pennsylvania, the Royals should be fighting for a top 10 spot.
Roster: Marianne Abdaleh (124), Katherine Fedko (97), Marissa Canzian (96), Makora Smocer (76), Delaney McCarthy (62)
Team Data: 90.6. 1st in Grove City
Comments: The Royals are coming off a big win at Grove City and should be a top 10 team in the ES led by Marianne Abdalah.
Immaculate Mustangs (CT)
Overview: The Mustangs will be fighting for a top 10 spot in the Eastern States race.
Roster: Angela Saidman (126), Jenna Gasperini (123), Daniele Marcone (114), Diana Kirkman (75), Shannon Ducey (59)
Team Data: 99.6. 4th in Ocean State-Champ.
Comments: Following a taste of big action at Ocean State, the Mustangs should be prepared to aim for the top 10 behind their dynamic trio of Saiman, Gasperini, and Marcone.
Syosset Braves (NY)
Overview: The Braves finished a strong 8th in Eastern States last year and could be shooting for a top 3 place with a strong cast this year.
Roster: Reilly Siebert (140), Samantha Destefani (111), Melissa Esswein (110), Lauren White (101), Tracy Go (93), Kayla Beovich (93)
Team Data: 113.2. 7th in McQuaid-AAA
Comments: Reilly Siebert is among the high-flying cast with 140+ speed ratings in the race this year, and with a strong squad behind her the Braves have a serious shot at a top 5 or even top 3 place.
La Salle Rams (RI)
Overview: The Rams enter the race as last year's runners-up and the 2014 NXN Nationals 9th place team, the 11th ranked team in the nation, and the 4th rated team in the Eastern States group.
Roster: Eliza Rego (132), Karina Tavares (124), Grace Connolly (122), Emily Kane (117), Audrey O'Neill (103), Elise Papazan (102), Michelle Renzi (100)
Team Data: 119.6. 1st in Maine Festival of Champions
Comments: The Rams are already running wild with an elite group at the top behind Rego, Tavares, and Connolly, and Eastern States will give them the chance to get more of a spotlight on their speed on a national stage.
Champlain Valley Redhawks (VT)
Overview: The Redhawks are a perennial top team at Eastern States and are the top ranked team in Vermont.
Roster: Sophia Gorman (122), Jennifer Ireland (106), Meara Heininger (98), Julie Sulva (94), Rosalie Lacroix (84), Ella Whitman (83)
Team Data: 102.4. 4th in Woods Trail
Comments: The Redhawks make their annual flight down to Manhattan after a 7th place in Eastern States last year, and behind top runner Sophia Gorman they will be shooting for a top 10 place.
Bellport Clippers (NY)
Overview: The Clippers will be taking in the action at Manhattan.
Roster: Grace Minikel (77), Bella Iadicicco (69), Merin Smith (42), Erin Kelly (42)
Team Data: 38.6. 10th in Suffolk Coaches-A
Comments: The Clippers will be at the back in the ES.
North Rockland Red Raiders (NY)
Overview: The Red Raiders are one of the top teams in NY and enter the race with the 3rd best speed ratings among the teams.
Roster: Alex Harris (136), Katelyn Tuohy (136), Haleigh Morales (114), Kerry O'Connor (107), Claire Tantillo (105), Noelle Feeney (98), Aida Torpey (86)
Team Data: 120.0. 1st in Grout-D1
Comments: The Red Raiders are flying high behind 8th grader Katelyn Tuohy and Alex Harris, and the duo will be trying to show the fans that they maybe should be given some consideration in the national rankings.
Hamilton Emerald Knights (NY)
Overview: The Knights are a very small NY school built around senior state champion Sage Hurta.
Roster: Sage Hurta (145), Kaitlyn Janczuk (61)
Team Data: ~50. Ran in McQuaid A race
Comments: The Knights will likely consist of just Sage Hurt at Manhattan, and after a powerful performance at the McQuaid meet, she will be battling for a win in Eastern States.
Notre Dame Gators (NY)
Overview: The Gators are the top NYC Catholic school, and they will be battling hard for a top 10 place as kind of the local team in the race.
Roster: Sydney Rice (120), Keiana Mitchell (116), Jackie Thompson (93), Lauren Pitaressi (85), Olivia Jaenicke (80), Ariella Garcia (75), Tara Kelly (71)
Team Data: 100.0. Finished 1st in the Mayor's Cup
Comments: The Gators are coming off a big win in the Mayor's Cup last weekend at Van Cortlandt, and now they have a chance to double up on the glory days at VCP with possibly a top 10 finish in the Eastern States,
Jordan-Elbridge Eagles (NY)
Overview: The Eagles are one of the small upstate NY teams and have a cast built around senior Abby Gugel.
Roster: Abby Gugel (126), Theresa Dristle (100), Mary Dristle (80), Abby Skotniski (58)
Team Data: 80.8. 11th in McQuaid-A
Comments: The Eagles are a very competitive NY Class C team, but the focus here will likely be more on Abby Gugel's bid for a top 20 place in the race.
Needham Rockets (MA)
Overview: The Rockets are the top rated team in Massachusetts and should be battling for a top 10 place.
Roster: Margie Cullen (134), Sarah Armstrong (123), Maddi Torry (101), Daniella Pascucci (94), Alice Blake (78)
Team Data: 106.0. 2nd in Ocean State-Champ
Comments: The Rockets should be set behind top duo Cullen and Armstrong to get a top 10 place after a high finish at Ocean State.
Haddonfield Bulldawgs (NJ)
Overview: The Bulldawgs are one of the top teams in NJ and were the winners in last year's Manhattan B race.
Roster: Briana Gess (141), Kaitlyn Bonnet (97), Izzy Miller (90), Bridget Paisel (86), Lauren Lynch (85), Natalie McCrudden (83)
Team Data: 99.8. 1st in Bowdoin-1
Comments: The Bulldawgs make a return trip to NY after a win two weeks ago at Bowdoin, and last year's B race winner Briana Gess is set to try to lead her team to a top 10 finish.
Bedford Bulldogs (NH)
Overview: The Bulldogs will getting a chance to run with the best at Manhattan
Roster: Leya Salis (120), Carolin Mahoney (80), Sophie Lehman (57), Elizabeth Mailhot (55), Kayley Bowen (53)
Team Data: 73.2. 16th in Manchester
Comments: The Bulldogs are centered around frontrunner Leya Salis and will be in the back in the ES.
Corning Hawks (NY)
Overview: The Hawks are one of NY's top teams and are led by US #16 Jessica Lawson who won last year's C race at Manhattan.
Roster: Jessica Lawson (150), Kate Mertus (117), Emily Niu (105), Maeve Holman (95), Alivia Collins (94), Rhian O'Dell (93), Marian Cooper (93)
Team Data: 113.4. 5th in McQuaid-AAA
Comments: The Hawks split the team between two meets on Manhattan Saturday last year, but a full squad for this year in the ES should be looking for at least a top 5 place. Jessica Lawson is one of the top runners in the nation and will be one of the favorites for the win this year.
Sachem East Flaming Arrows (NY)
Overview: The Flaming Arrows were a surprise 5th in last year's Eastern States, and they may be preparing another ambush after a rather low-key year so far.
Roster: Alexandra DeCicco (123), Valerie Romero (114), Rachel Ruggiero (102), Jillian Manfredi (95), Caitlin O'Hehir (88), Tiffany Ly (83), Ciara Murphy (83)
Team Data: 103.2. 2nd in Queensbury-1
Comments: The Flaming Arrows may be set to explode at Eastern States behind Alexandra DeCicco if last year's race is any indicator.
Walt Whitman Vikings (MD)
Overview: The Vikings are one of Maryland's top teams and return to an Eastern States race that they usually do very well in.
Roster: Sami King (110), Olivia Woods (95), Erin O'Connor (79), Julia Johnson (77), Lena Feldman (71)
Team Data: 84,4. 1st in Oatlands
Comments: The Vikings have a decent group for Eastern States this year behind Sami King who should have a shot at a top 15 place.
Pennsbury Falcons (PA)
Overview: Pennsbury is always among the top 5 teams in Eastern States when it comes up to Manhattan, and this year the nation's #11 team should be battling for a title.
Roster: Olivia Sargent (137), Hannah Molloy (130), Mary Webb (118), Maddie Sauer (112), Meridith Twomey (110), Rachel Estray (108), Bailey Balmer (104)
Team Data: 121.4 1st in Paul Short-Brown
Comments: The Falcons top duo of 2014 NXN-Northeast winner Olivia Sargent and fellow senior Hannah Molloy will put them in contention for a title at Eastern States, and with a little movement behind them an upset could happen.
Our Lady of Lourdes Warriors (NY)
Overview: The Warriors are built around Caroline Timm.
Roster: Caroline Timm (122)
Team Data: No speed rating. Ran in Brewster-D1
Comments: Caroline Timm is one of NY's strong young runners who will be shooting for a top 25 place in the ES.
Patriot Pioneers (VA)
Overview: The Pioneers are a bit of a mystery team except that they have US #11 rated runner Rachel McArthur who won last year's NXN Southeast regional.
Roster: Rachel McArthur (151), Abby Wied (121), Sierra Biber (101), Lindsey Yentz (101), Maggie McCarthy (97)
Team Data: 114 estimate. 2nd in the MileSplit RVA Relays A race.
Comments: The Pioneers should be among the top 5 teams at Eastern States, though it's hard to get a handle on speed ratings for them. Rachel McArthur is one of the speediest runners in the country and will be among the favorites for a title in Eastern States.
Annapolis Panthers (MD)
Overview: The Panthers are centered around frontrunner Maria Coffin.
Roster: Maria Coffin (141), Anna Coffin (72)
Team Data: 56.2. 10th in Bull Run-Large.
Comments: Maria Coffin will be a favorite for a top 10 place in the race after a big win at Bull Run.
Scranton Knights (PA)
Overview: The Knights are another team that will be enjoying an outing among some of the best teams in the country.
Roster: Katie Shea (79), Abby Hein (67)
Team Data: 40.6. 5th in Lackawanna County Commissioners
Comments: The Knights will be among the back teams in the race.