MileSplit HQ - In the midst of our recap of last year, TullyRunners has released their brief team predictions for next year. MileSplit NY's previews will be released Aug 9th - Aug 22nd. While we both work off the same data, we interpret and make different assumptions about that data. Be sure to check out both previews to get the full picture!
Via Bill Meylan, Tully Runners
Pre-season team rankings have problems: ... first, they are based (in large part) on last year's results ... more recent track results may or may not have relevance for the upcoming XC season ... some runners improve (some improve a lot) ... a few runners transfer or quit ... new runners can join a team and make a big difference ... So any pre-season rankings must be viewed in that context.
What good are pre-season rankings?
(1) a fun topic of
conversation
during the
summer
(2) beneficial in gathering background information
for the upcoming season
Once the XC season starts, I rank individual runners and teams based strictly on performance during the current season ... So pre-season rankings are not used during the season.
To a large extent, the team listing below is just an extension of the 2014 XC season into 2015 with a few modifications ... IF data for 5 runners on each team was not readily available (or guess-able), that team is probably NOT included below ... With rare exceptions, I ignored last year's modified runners.
I limited the Combined Class list to 37 teams after starting with 70+ teams .
Remember ... this list is just an
informational starting point ... I posted
scores by individual class because some people are interested
...
A lot can change between mid-July and November.
Pre-Season Previews 2015:
....
Top
Girls Teams in NY State Pre-Season Projection
(July
22)
....
Top Boys Teams in NY State
Pre-Season Projection
(July
22)